Monday Musings: New GOP generation rising, still waiting for Rubio surge
So we are a year out from the 2016 elections. Where are we exactly? Not sure, but some observations:A new GOP generation advances– The generational wheel took a significant turn this week with strong...
View ArticleMondays Musings on 2016: Clinton/Obama strong, Carson unraveling and a...
Obama, Clinton strong– polling last week found Hillary Clinton in firm command of the Democratic primary race, and in a far better position nationally. The respected NBC/WSJ poll found her ahead of...
View ArticleMonday Musings: Natl landscape leaning Dem, security re-emerges as top 2016...
State of the race– Despite having two debates this past week, don’t think the race has changed all that much. Clinton still dominates the Dem side, and the big five – Carson, Trump, Cruz, Rubio and...
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Mondays Musings: All They Have Is Fear Itself
In a time of challenge, the GOP panics - The one upsmanship for who could be harder on Muslims we saw among Republican President candidates this past week was a powerful reminder that the GOP has long...
View ArticleMondays Musings: Opportunity and Peril, Cruz Rising
Reminders of the opportunities and perils in the world today - On this anniversary of Pearl Harbor, what stands out about the 2016 race this morning is how much we’ve been reminded of both the...
View ArticleMondays Musings: Ted and Donald, Millennials in Play? Debates matter
Trump and Cruz rising, Hillary losing a bit of steam? - Lots of new polls out these last few days, all showing the same thing - Trump and Cruz have momentum. 6 weeks now till the Iowa Caucuses and at...
View ArticleMonday Musings: The Sprint to Iowa and New Hampshire Begins
Real voters head to the polls less than a month from now. Where do things stand? A few things we know:4 candidates lead in the early states – Cruz and Clinton lead in Iowa, Trump and Sanders in New...
View ArticleMonday Musings: Can Anyone Stop Trump? Dems Wake Up To A Competitive Race
New WSJ/NBC/Marist Polls– New polls released yesterday give us a fresh look at where things stand three weeks before Iowa.The GOP - For the GOP, there is really only one question now – can anyone stop...
View ArticleMondays Musings: With Two Weeks To Go Till Iowa, A Close Race
What a political week. 2 debates, a State of the Union, dramatic events in/with Iran. Where do things stand?The Democrats– Polls suggest that Sanders and Clinton head into the all important February...
View ArticleMonday Musings: Trump Rising, Dems Battle, Thoughts on Political Reform/Dem...
The trend lines we discussed last week continued into this one: Trump appears to be in the process of besting Cruz in Iowa and everywhere else; and the Democratic race remained too close to call in...
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After Iowa, A Different Race for President
On Wednesday, February 3rd, this version was revised, and corrected, from the original. See note below.Those pesky voters did their thing last night and created a brand new Presidential race in both...
View ArticleMonday Musings on 2016 – What Will New Hampshire Bring?
Trump, Sanders lead the polls – Both Sanders and Trump seem to be in good shape in New Hampshire as of today. But as Iowa showed us last week, anything is possible in this volatile race. Iowa could...
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Release: Dem/GOP Presidential Primary Debates Audiences in 2008 and 2016
This memo looks at the audiences the Presidential Primary debates received in 2016 and 2008. Top line analysis can be found below, and tables of the audiences of each debate which received ratings in...
View ArticleMonday Musings: On to Nevada and South Carolina
On to Nevada and South Carolina - The race changed quite a bit last week with Sanders and Trump scoring significant victories in New Hampshire. The unorthodox nature of the race was captured in two...
View ArticleTrump and Clinton In The Driver's Seat
For this week's Monday Musings on 2016 column some initial thoughts on Saturday's contests in South Carolina and Nevada:The Republicans– After strong wins in New Hampshire and South Carolina, Trump...
View ArticleTaking Trump Seriously
Some hastily tossed together observations the morning after Trump’s huge win in Nevada:Strength of Reactionary Forces in GOP Not News– Hard to know the exact date when reactionary forces began to truly...
View ArticleHeading into Super Tuesday, Trump and Clinton Remain in the Driver’s Seat
This week’s Monday Musings memo finds Trump and Clinton still in the driver’s seat, with each appearing to have a very commanding lead in their Party’s fight for the nomination. Both are doing well in...
View ArticleSanders and Cruz Live to Fight Another Day
Trump, Clinton still lead, but Cruz and Sanders not going away– Both Cruz and Sanders did well enough this weekend (Sanders won 3 states to 2 for Trump and Cruz, 1 for Clinton and Rubio) that their...
View ArticleTuesday May Be The Last Day to Stop Clinton, Trump
Consequential Voting Tomorrow– Both parties face meaningful elections tomorrow, the second “Super” Tuesday of the 2016 race for President. 5 big states vote – Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North...
View ArticleTrump and Clinton Look Unstoppable Now; Some Thoughts About the 2016 Map
2016 Overview - Yes, there are scenarios where Clinton and Trump could come up short this summer. But they are increasingly unlikely, even remote. A Trump Clinton match up looks assured now, and what a...
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